← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.03+11.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+8.15vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.40+8.23vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.73+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.12+5.73vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.75+2.71vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.85+1.56vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.49vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.15-2.38vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.39vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.49-1.43vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.05-4.54vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.90-4.93vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University2.04-2.95vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.78-4.27vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.45-7.06vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.60-7.68vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.62Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
-
10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.5%1st Place
-
11.23Boston College2.403.1%1st Place
-
6.91Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
-
10.73Tufts University2.123.6%1st Place
-
8.71Georgetown University2.756.0%1st Place
-
8.56Brown University2.856.0%1st Place
-
9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
-
6.62Stanford University3.158.4%1st Place
-
11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.2%1st Place
-
9.57College of Charleston2.495.5%1st Place
-
7.46Harvard University3.059.3%1st Place
-
8.07Dartmouth College2.906.5%1st Place
-
11.05Tulane University2.043.3%1st Place
-
10.73University of Rhode Island2.783.5%1st Place
-
8.94Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
-
9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
-
9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 21.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.