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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.70+0.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.53-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59-1.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.19-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.76-1.77vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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2.67Brown University2.530.3%1st Place
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2.6University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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5.01Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.64Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 30.0% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 25.1% | 24.8% | 24.0% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Moakes | 27.4% | 24.7% | 23.4% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Richard Jordan | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 24.1% | 21.5% |
| William Feldman | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 15.4% |
| William Kresic | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 28.4% |
| Tom McKenzie | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.