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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.82+1.25vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.36+0.75vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+1.05vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.04-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.10vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.08-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25McGill University0.820.4%1st Place
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2.75Amherst College0.360.3%1st Place
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4.05Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.31McGill University-0.040.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.74McGill University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 36.0% | 28.5% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Madison Suh | 25.3% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Colby Green | 9.0% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 22.0% |
| Youmans Yuan | 15.9% | 16.5% | 22.0% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 8.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| Camila Heredia | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.