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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.82+1.25vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.04+1.30vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.36-0.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59+0.06vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25McGill University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.3McGill University-0.040.2%1st Place
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2.75Amherst College0.360.2%1st Place
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4.06Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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4.77McGill University-1.080.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 36.3% | 28.2% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Youmans Yuan | 16.1% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Madison Suh | 24.3% | 21.5% | 24.1% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Colby Green | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 22.6% |
| Camila Heredia | 3.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 46.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.7% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.