← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Amherst College0.36+1.79vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.82+0.21vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.59+1.07vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-1.08+0.67vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.04-1.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Amherst College0.360.2%1st Place
-
2.21McGill University0.820.4%1st Place
-
4.07Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.67McGill University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
3.42McGill University-0.040.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 22.6% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Hal Clews | 39.5% | 24.0% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Colby Green | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Camila Heredia | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 42.4% |
| Youmans Yuan | 13.9% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 22.0% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.