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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.36+1.82vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.04+1.30vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.82-0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.19vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Amherst College0.360.2%1st Place
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3.3McGill University-0.040.2%1st Place
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2.19McGill University0.820.4%1st Place
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3.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.77McGill University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.11Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 22.0% | 24.1% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Youmans Yuan | 16.2% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 8.6% |
| Hal Clews | 38.2% | 27.2% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 16.8% |
| Camila Heredia | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 45.8% |
| Colby Green | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 26.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.