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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.82+1.26vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.36+0.76vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.08+1.68vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.04-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.11vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26McGill University0.820.4%1st Place
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2.76Amherst College0.360.2%1st Place
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4.68McGill University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.33McGill University-0.040.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.09Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 35.6% | 27.8% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Madison Suh | 24.8% | 25.3% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Camila Heredia | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 43.4% |
| Youmans Yuan | 15.4% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 7.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| Colby Green | 8.8% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.