← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+5.88vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.11+5.94vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.90+5.75vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.30+3.35vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.43-1.34vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.36+1.13vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.49-0.59vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.50-1.55vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.85-0.15vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.07vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.12-3.14vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.25-1.37vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.23-8.95vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.08-5.91vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.35-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
7.88Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.94Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.75George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.35Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
4.66Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.13Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.41Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.45Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.85Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
9.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.86Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
11.63Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.05University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.09Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
-
15.05Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 20.6% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 9.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.