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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+2.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36+4.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+2.56vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50+1.57vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.85+2.85vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.90+1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-3.83vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.11-1.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.30-2.73vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.08-2.98vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-4.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-2.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-4.98vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.35-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.59Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.49George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.96Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.62Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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15.04Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 21.0% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 22.7% | 8.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.