← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.38+6.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.15vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.43+1.54vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.50+3.65vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.90+4.70vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.64-1.92vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.30+1.37vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.36-0.13vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.85+0.75vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.12-1.01vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.08-2.00vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-2.09vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.25-1.31vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.49-6.56vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.11-6.00vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.35-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.15University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
4.54Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
7.65Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.7George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
4.08Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
8.37Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.87Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.75Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.99Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.0Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.69Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.44Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.0Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
15.04Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.5% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Will Priebe | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 3.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 9.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.