Race 5A

moody

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Teddy Nicolosi 16.2% 15.9% 13.0% 12.7% 9.7% 8.2% 6.6% 5.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Justin Callahan 20.4% 17.0% 14.7% 11.8% 9.8% 6.1% 7.1% 4.6% 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Priebe 5.0% 2.9% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.1% 9.1% 10.4% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 6.1% 1.5%
Kerem Erkmen 10.7% 13.8% 11.8% 9.3% 11.8% 9.1% 7.8% 7.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Kyle Pfrang 5.2% 4.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 7.6% 7.5% 9.3% 6.4% 6.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Stewart Gurnell 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.1% 7.6% 8.3% 6.9% 1.6%
Mathieu Dale 5.5% 6.6% 5.9% 6.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 9.4% 8.9% 6.5% 7.5% 6.6% 6.4% 3.2% 0.5%
Harris Padegs 2.9% 4.4% 3.7% 4.4% 4.2% 5.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.6% 8.5% 9.9% 8.8% 10.9% 10.3% 2.1%
Thibault Antonietti 6.1% 6.5% 6.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 6.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.8% 3.8% 0.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6% 2.3% 5.4% 3.7% 4.2% 7.3% 7.2% 8.9% 14.0% 23.8% 10.3%
William Weinbecker 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 3.8% 6.2% 4.2% 4.5% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 7.9% 11.0% 10.9% 11.9% 2.7%
Bryan Trammell 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 7.1% 5.5% 6.8% 5.8% 7.0% 8.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 7.7% 9.9% 7.3% 1.7%
Kenneth Corsig 5.0% 6.8% 9.6% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 9.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.4% 6.5% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Hunter Zonnenberg 6.3% 4.6% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 7.4% 8.1% 8.3% 6.0% 9.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 3.8% 3.2% 0.7%
Tyler Wood 3.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.4% 6.6% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 11.5% 9.0% 2.1%
Bryan Lawrence 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 3.6% 7.7% 75.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.