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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.91vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+9.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+7.54vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+7.13vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15+1.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.52vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+5.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85+0.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-2.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-3.69vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-3.40vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.37vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.04-6.06vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.12-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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11.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
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11.13Boston College2.403.1%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University3.1510.8%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.057.9%1st Place
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12.71Bowdoin College2.032.8%1st Place
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8.61Brown University2.855.6%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.455.3%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.604.9%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College2.907.1%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University2.756.5%1st Place
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9.6College of Charleston2.494.9%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.3%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.2%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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10.94Tulane University2.043.6%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Murray | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 20.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.