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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+1.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.66+1.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.97+1.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70-1.66vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.19-0.51vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.76-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Rhode Island2.590.3%1st Place
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3.68Brown University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.81Roger Williams University0.970.1%1st Place
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2.34Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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4.49Yale University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.26Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Connecticut0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moakes | 33.3% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Tower | 11.0% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Richard Jordan | 6.6% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 33.4% | 28.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Feldman | 5.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| Tom McKenzie | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 32.9% |
| William Kresic | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.