Race 1A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Atlee Kohl 16.4% 15.1% 13.4% 11.4% 10.8% 9.0% 5.6% 5.9% 5.4% 2.6% 2.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Derry 3.9% 5.5% 5.0% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 9.2% 8.9% 6.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
Parker Purrington 8.0% 5.7% 8.5% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.4% 9.5% 9.2% 7.8% 7.7% 4.0% 2.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Hayden Earl 17.3% 16.6% 14.7% 13.1% 9.5% 8.4% 7.3% 4.9% 3.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 8.3% 9.9% 9.1% 8.8% 10.4% 6.9% 11.2% 8.4% 6.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Rosow 6.6% 6.9% 9.6% 9.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 6.8% 5.2% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Calvin Schmid 6.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.3% 7.7% 7.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.3% 3.0% 1.9% 0.3%
Ryan Downey 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.9% 10.2% 11.5% 10.9% 3.4%
Peter Lobaugh 13.9% 12.1% 11.2% 12.1% 11.2% 8.9% 8.1% 6.2% 4.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
kai rauch 2.5% 4.0% 2.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 6.8% 9.6% 10.9% 11.6% 10.4% 9.6% 3.2%
Asher Green 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.1% 4.5% 4.6% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 7.7% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 2.7%
Ryan Potter 3.0% 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.1% 7.5% 5.9% 8.1% 6.5% 8.8% 10.5% 10.5% 8.4% 3.6%
Jonathan Kelly 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.6% 3.9% 7.4% 8.6% 14.4% 22.7% 18.8%
Patrick McBride 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 6.1% 15.2% 61.1%
Tyler Egeli 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 6.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 10.8% 7.2% 2.3%
Brooks Turcotte 2.4% 3.3% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 9.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 10.3% 9.5% 8.6% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.