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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.04vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.43+1.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17+2.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.46+0.17vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.46-0.77vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-2.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.13vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-1.77-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04SUNY Maritime College-0.0221.1%1st Place
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3.09Columbia University0.4320.8%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.176.7%1st Place
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4.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.4611.8%1st Place
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4.23Unknown School-0.4610.8%1st Place
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3.01Stevens Institute of Technology-3.6424.3%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Military Academy-2.272.2%1st Place
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6.3Webb Institute-1.772.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 21.1% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 20.8% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alden Hughes | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 10.1% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Patrice Masterson | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Tristan Feves | 24.3% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 52.3% |
| Sophia Tolkacheva | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 29.8% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.