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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.54vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.77+5.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+3.71vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.51+1.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.86-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.62vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.59vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.98+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.08-1.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-5.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.39vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.08-4.39vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.15-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.88-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.34Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.15Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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9.59SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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10.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.61Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.66Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Virginia-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Earl | 18.3% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Downey | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| kai rauch | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Asher Green | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 25.7% | 18.9% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.