Race 5A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Atlee Kohl 15.7% 15.3% 13.6% 13.7% 8.4% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 4.5% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Derry 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 6.9% 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 8.1% 8.7% 7.1% 9.1% 7.1% 8.4% 6.4% 4.1% 1.1%
Asher Green 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 5.0% 7.4% 5.5% 8.7% 9.0% 10.4% 10.2% 10.7% 7.4% 2.5%
Parker Purrington 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.1% 9.3% 7.7% 8.3% 5.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Calvin Schmid 5.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 8.3% 7.0% 7.8% 4.6% 2.1% 2.7% 0.3%
Hayden Earl 19.2% 14.9% 14.6% 11.7% 12.2% 7.9% 5.8% 4.7% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 8.1% 8.2% 6.6% 8.1% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 7.5% 7.7% 7.9% 6.6% 5.8% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.4%
kai rauch 2.3% 3.7% 3.5% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 4.8% 7.0% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.9% 11.9% 9.0% 3.0%
Peter Lobaugh 13.6% 14.1% 10.7% 11.6% 9.8% 9.7% 8.7% 5.9% 6.2% 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Cole Woodworth 8.7% 7.2% 9.5% 8.1% 9.7% 10.5% 10.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.3% 4.5% 3.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Downey 2.5% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 3.5% 5.4% 4.3% 5.2% 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 11.1% 12.6% 10.3% 3.7%
Brooks Turcotte 2.7% 4.5% 4.1% 2.5% 4.3% 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 10.6% 9.6% 9.8% 2.5%
Ryan Potter 2.9% 2.4% 5.0% 4.1% 4.0% 6.1% 4.2% 7.1% 6.9% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 8.3% 2.9%
Jonathan Kelly 1.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 3.2% 6.3% 6.8% 9.4% 13.9% 23.4% 17.1%
Patrick McBride 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.7% 5.3% 15.8% 63.2%
Tyler Egeli 2.7% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 10.7% 7.2% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.