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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+3.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08+6.72vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+6.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66-3.47vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.77-2.53vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.08-1.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.51-6.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.41vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.15-1.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.98-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.88-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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10.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.94Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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7.47Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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9.75Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.14Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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12.44Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Virginia-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 19.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 24.5% | 15.8% |
| kai rauch | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.