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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.05+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+1.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.08+4.72vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-1.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.60vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.51-4.91vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.10-1.37vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.08-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.98-3.04vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.15-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.88-0.37vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Cornell University2.860.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.98Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.2Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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5.09Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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9.68Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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12.39Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Virginia-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Asher Green | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| kai rauch | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 16.8% |
| Patrick McBride | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 63.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.