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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+4.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+4.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+3.40vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+1.20vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.91+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86+0.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.09-1.00vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.97+1.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.93-3.51vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89-4.45vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.90-2.22vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.59vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-6.05vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.61-1.21vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia-0.31-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.2Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.49Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.46SUNY Maritime College0.970.0%1st Place
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11.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.55Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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13.79Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Finn Mahan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Clark Morris | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| Clay Myers | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 23.5% | 34.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.