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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+5.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+4.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+3.42vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93+2.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.09+1.02vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+0.60vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+4.72vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.09-2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.90+0.76vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+3.64vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.31+2.00vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.61+1.70vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.97-3.46vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-6.01vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-8.35vs Predicted
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16Princeton University2.35-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.58Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.02Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.6Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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11.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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13.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.7Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College0.970.0%1st Place
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7.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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5.14Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 8.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Quine | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 30.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 35.5% |
| Finn Mahan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Clay Myers | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.