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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+5.48vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.93+4.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+4.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86+1.73vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-0.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.09-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.38+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.09-3.06vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-3.25vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.61+2.69vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.97-2.31vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-4.88vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.31-0.91vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.04vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.3Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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13.69Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.69SUNY Maritime College0.970.0%1st Place
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8.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 9.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 25.6% | 34.4% |
| Finn Mahan | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Clay Myers | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 21.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 9.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.