← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.45+8.16vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.49+7.76vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.05vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.64vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+6.57vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.73+0.89vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.90+1.27vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.44vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.05-1.56vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.60-0.62vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.15-4.33vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.28-2.11vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.75-4.35vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.12-3.38vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.40-3.81vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.03-3.14vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.78-6.42vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.85-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.16Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
-
9.76College of Charleston2.494.5%1st Place
-
10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.483.8%1st Place
-
9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.3%1st Place
-
11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.1%1st Place
-
6.89Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
-
8.27Dartmouth College2.907.2%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.2%1st Place
-
7.44Harvard University3.058.2%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.604.9%1st Place
-
6.67Stanford University3.159.7%1st Place
-
9.89Tulane University2.285.0%1st Place
-
8.65Georgetown University2.756.0%1st Place
-
10.62Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
-
11.19Boston College2.404.3%1st Place
-
12.86Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Rhode Island2.784.4%1st Place
-
8.93Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Will Murray | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 22.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.