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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.04-0.19vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+1.04vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.33+0.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.80-0.93vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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1.81University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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4.04Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.67Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.07Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.02Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 26.2% | 34.0% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 49.2% | 28.5% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.7% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Hunter Ott | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 40.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.2% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 24.0% | 20.1% |
| Eli Erling | 6.5% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.