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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+0.88vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+0.37vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.33+1.63vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.80-0.01vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.85-0.88vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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2.37Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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4.63Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
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3.99Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.12Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.01Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 46.0% | 31.4% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lukas Diehm | 29.4% | 30.6% | 21.2% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Hunter Ott | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 24.2% | 38.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.6% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 17.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.3% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Eli Erling | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 23.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.