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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.04-0.17vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.79+0.95vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.05vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.80-0.91vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.33-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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1.83University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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3.95Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.05Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.09Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.68Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 26.5% | 33.4% | 21.2% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 48.8% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eli Erling | 8.4% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 25.4% | 18.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 22.6% | 21.5% |
| Hunter Ott | 3.7% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.