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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.80+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.04-0.15vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51-0.67vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.05vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79-0.92vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.33-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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1.85University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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2.33Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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4.05Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.08Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 18.8% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 48.7% | 28.6% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lukas Diehm | 27.5% | 34.7% | 20.6% | 12.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 24.8% | 19.0% |
| Eli Erling | 6.9% | 8.7% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 21.9% |
| Hunter Ott | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 24.5% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.