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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+0.88vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+0.36vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+0.97vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.79-0.01vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.33-0.27vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Wisconsin1.040.5%1st Place
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2.36Purdue University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.97Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.99Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.73Marquette University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.07Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 45.9% | 31.7% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lukas Diehm | 29.8% | 30.4% | 20.7% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.0% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| Eli Erling | 6.4% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 24.0% | 17.2% |
| Hunter Ott | 3.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 42.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.5% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 23.4% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.