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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.80+2.31vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.05+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.04-1.42vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85-0.67vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.94-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.42Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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1.58University of Wisconsin1.040.6%1st Place
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3.33Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.36Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 9.0% | 16.3% | 26.4% | 31.3% | 17.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 21.1% | 35.5% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 59.7% | 26.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.2% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 32.3% | 17.0% |
| Teague McGinn | 2.0% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.