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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.80+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.04-0.41vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+0.31vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.94-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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1.59University of Wisconsin1.040.6%1st Place
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3.31Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.43Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.36Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 9.5% | 16.0% | 26.9% | 29.9% | 17.7% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 57.6% | 28.5% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 9.5% | 15.3% | 25.6% | 33.4% | 16.2% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 20.8% | 35.3% | 26.8% | 14.1% | 3.0% |
| Teague McGinn | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.