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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.04+0.58vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.80+1.30vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-1.58vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.94-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Wisconsin1.040.6%1st Place
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3.3Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.34Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.42Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.36Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 59.1% | 27.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.3% | 15.2% | 30.2% | 30.5% | 15.8% |
| Lucia Marquez | 9.0% | 15.3% | 25.4% | 33.7% | 16.6% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 20.9% | 36.7% | 25.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% |
| Teague McGinn | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.