← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+7.16vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.49+7.84vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.85+5.56vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.47vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+6.57vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.49vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.85vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.40+3.30vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.12+1.67vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03+2.83vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.30vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.73-5.00vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.78-2.23vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.45-4.76vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.15-8.34vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.75-7.50vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University3.05-9.54vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.28-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.16Dartmouth College2.906.4%1st Place
-
9.84College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
-
8.56Brown University2.855.5%1st Place
-
9.47U. S. Naval Academy2.605.8%1st Place
-
11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.8%1st Place
-
9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.6%1st Place
-
11.3Boston College2.403.4%1st Place
-
10.67Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
-
12.83Bowdoin College2.032.7%1st Place
-
9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.6%1st Place
-
7.0Yale University2.739.2%1st Place
-
10.77University of Rhode Island2.783.8%1st Place
-
9.24Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
-
6.66Stanford University3.1510.7%1st Place
-
8.5Georgetown University2.756.9%1st Place
-
7.46Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
-
9.91Tulane University2.284.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Will Murray | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 22.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.