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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College-0.85+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.04-0.40vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+0.25vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.94-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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1.6University of Wisconsin1.040.6%1st Place
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3.25Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.43Marquette University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.36Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Marquez | 8.8% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 57.7% | 28.0% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 10.0% | 17.0% | 26.0% | 32.0% | 15.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 20.9% | 34.9% | 27.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| Teague McGinn | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.