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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+1.32vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+1.41vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.33-1.40vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.22-1.02vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-2.38-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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3.41Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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1.6Northwestern University1.330.6%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.7Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 24.4% | 36.1% | 24.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.8% | 11.4% | 27.1% | 43.9% | 10.8% |
| Delaney Smith | 56.7% | 29.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 11.2% | 20.6% | 32.8% | 29.7% | 5.7% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 0.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.