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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.50+1.33vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+1.41vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.22-0.02vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.33-2.41vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-2.38-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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3.41Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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1.59Northwestern University1.330.6%1st Place
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4.7Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 23.9% | 36.8% | 24.4% | 12.4% | 2.5% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.2% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 45.2% | 10.5% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 11.4% | 19.5% | 34.6% | 29.1% | 5.4% |
| Delaney Smith | 57.5% | 28.8% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.0% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 81.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.