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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.60vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.50+0.30vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+0.30vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.22-1.08vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-3.29-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Northwestern University1.330.6%1st Place
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2.3Purdue University0.500.2%1st Place
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3.3Marquette University-0.630.1%1st Place
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2.92Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.88Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 57.1% | 28.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Justin Skene | 23.9% | 36.1% | 26.6% | 12.9% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Kozal | 8.2% | 12.8% | 24.8% | 49.7% | 4.5% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 10.3% | 21.7% | 35.8% | 29.6% | 2.6% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.