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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.33vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.50-0.23vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-3.29-0.07vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.42-1.63vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-4.28-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.33Northwestern University1.330.7%1st Place
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1.77Purdue University0.500.3%1st Place
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3.93Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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3.37Marquette University-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.6Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 68.2% | 30.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Skene | 29.7% | 64.1% | 5.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 0.7% | 1.4% | 25.6% | 48.8% | 23.5% |
| Sara Boutelle | 1.4% | 3.4% | 58.3% | 30.3% | 6.6% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.6% | 9.0% | 20.5% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.