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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.03vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.54-0.56vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-3.29-1.06vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-4.28-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.03Northwestern University1.331.0%1st Place
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2.44Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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2.94Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
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3.59Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 96.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Riordan | 1.7% | 59.3% | 32.5% | 6.5% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 1.4% | 27.4% | 46.8% | 24.4% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 10.1% | 20.7% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.