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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+0.03vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.54-0.54vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-4.28-0.40vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-3.29-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.03Northwestern University1.331.0%1st Place
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2.46Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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3.6Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
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2.91Lake Forest College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 97.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Riordan | 1.7% | 57.9% | 32.7% | 7.7% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.4% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 70.7% |
| Miriam Arnold-Nott | 0.5% | 29.4% | 48.5% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.