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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+9.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+7.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.78vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+2.41vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.65vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-1.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-0.59vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40+1.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-1.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-0.24vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.41vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.28-5.19vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-8.47vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-6.38vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.45-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University3.1510.6%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.604.6%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.757.6%1st Place
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11.33Boston College2.403.5%1st Place
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9.0Brown University2.855.4%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
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12.76Bowdoin College2.032.4%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.4%1st Place
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9.81Tulane University2.283.8%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University3.057.5%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University2.123.7%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University2.455.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 22.6% |
| Will Murray | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.