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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.88+0.91vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83-0.10vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+1.73vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.28+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.24vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Northeastern University0.880.4%1st Place
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1.9McGill University0.830.4%1st Place
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4.73Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.05Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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3.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boni | 39.9% | 36.4% | 17.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Heldman | 41.9% | 33.4% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 34.7% | 32.0% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.0% | 7.4% | 16.5% | 33.8% | 28.2% | 10.1% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 55.7% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 10.9% | 16.0% | 33.4% | 27.8% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.