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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.83+0.94vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University-1.28+2.04vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+1.75vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.88-2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.22vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94McGill University0.830.4%1st Place
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4.04Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.75Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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1.85Northeastern University0.880.4%1st Place
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5.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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3.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Heldman | 40.1% | 34.3% | 18.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Wynn Simmons | 4.3% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 32.9% | 25.4% | 12.3% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 17.7% | 36.4% | 31.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 42.3% | 35.7% | 17.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.0% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 25.1% | 54.9% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 9.9% | 15.4% | 33.7% | 28.5% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.