← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.83+0.96vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.88-0.15vs Predicted
-
3Sacred Heart University-1.28+1.00vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.87vs Predicted
-
5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96McGill University0.830.4%1st Place
-
1.85Northeastern University0.880.4%1st Place
-
4.0Sacred Heart University-1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
-
4.84Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.22University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Heldman | 37.2% | 37.8% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 44.9% | 32.6% | 16.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Wynn Simmons | 5.5% | 6.8% | 17.0% | 33.7% | 26.5% | 10.5% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 9.8% | 17.1% | 36.5% | 25.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 1.1% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 35.5% | 34.0% |
| Carissa Keung | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 13.5% | 26.6% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.