← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.90+7.11vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.90vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+4.59vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.24vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.40+6.21vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.85+2.59vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.03+5.59vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.61+0.05vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.75-0.56vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.73-3.22vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.45-1.69vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.78-1.57vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.50vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.83-2.49vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.60vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.28-6.24vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.77vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston2.49-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11Dartmouth College2.907.5%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.1%1st Place
-
7.59Harvard University3.058.3%1st Place
-
9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.606.2%1st Place
-
11.21Boston College2.403.1%1st Place
-
8.59Brown University2.856.4%1st Place
-
12.59Bowdoin College2.032.6%1st Place
-
8.05Stanford University2.616.2%1st Place
-
8.44Georgetown University2.755.7%1st Place
-
6.78Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
-
9.31Roger Williams University2.455.1%1st Place
-
10.43University of Rhode Island2.784.0%1st Place
-
9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
-
11.51Tufts University1.834.3%1st Place
-
9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
-
9.76Tulane University2.285.3%1st Place
-
11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
-
9.37College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 21.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.