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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+3.30vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75+3.31vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.49+4.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.58vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-5.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.06vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.29vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.10vs Predicted
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18University of Miami-0.32-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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4.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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5.94Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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12.94Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.9Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.68University of Miami-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.