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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+5.02vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.21vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+0.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+2.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+4.01vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-1.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+2.09vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-1.56vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.52vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-4.98vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.49-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.32-1.12vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.15-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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4.27Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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13.09Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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15.88University of Miami-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.6% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 11.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 49.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.