← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+3.44vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.28+8.26vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.41+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.03+3.17vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.55+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.52+3.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.20vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.72+4.03vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.75-0.55vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.70-5.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan0.49+1.95vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.98-4.70vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.15-2.85vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.96vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami-0.32-0.16vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.09vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College1.11-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.44Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
-
4.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.26Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.72Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
8.17Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.34Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
10.08Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.03Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.45College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.96Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
13.95University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
-
8.3Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
15.84University of Miami-0.320.0%1st Place
-
12.91Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.47Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 47.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.