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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+7.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.31vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+2.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+0.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.12vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+5.06vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55-0.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+4.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+1.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-2.52vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.59vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-2.63vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.49-1.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-6.72vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.10vs Predicted
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18University of Miami-0.32-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.95Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.92Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.9Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Miami-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.