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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+5.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+4.14vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.49+3.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.83+4.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40+3.14vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+2.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-3.77vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.61-5.00vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-1.34vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-4.56vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-8.08vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.66vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.28-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Harvard University3.059.5%1st Place
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6.8Yale University2.7310.3%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.455.0%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston2.494.8%1st Place
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11.92Tufts University1.832.6%1st Place
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11.14Boston College2.403.0%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.162.5%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy2.605.7%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.757.9%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.617.4%1st Place
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12.66Bowdoin College2.032.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island2.783.7%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.907.9%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.3%1st Place
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9.81Tulane University2.285.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% |
| Will Murray | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 19.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.