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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+5.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+5.56vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+4.06vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.45vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+0.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33-1.79vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.10vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77+1.23vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.20+2.23vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.09-2.25vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-0.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.55-3.09vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.10-2.73vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.39-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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14.23Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.1Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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13.21Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Allison Volk | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 23.5% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.