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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+5.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.59vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+4.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+7.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70-0.90vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+2.79vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37+5.30vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.55+3.83vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.86-1.71vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-3.43vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.39-1.64vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.78vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.10-2.69vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.20-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.1Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.3Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.36Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.22Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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14.31University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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13.82Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 24.4% |
| Allison Volk | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.