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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+4.69vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+4.11vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+5.63vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.51vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+0.34vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09+1.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-4.56vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.55+1.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-1.08vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-3.14vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.39-1.64vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.37-2.50vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.20-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.10-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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4.49Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.36Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.5Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.99Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Allison Volk | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.